How can CBAM Impact India?
The implementation of the CBAM by the EU is expected to have significant economic implications for India. Specifically, Indian exports of energy-intensive products like steel, aluminum, cement, and fertilizers may face challenges such as higher prices, reduced competitiveness, and lower demand in the EU market.
The steel industry, which contributes nearly eight percent of global emissions, is considered a hard-to-abate sector. Carbon emissions from the iron and steel sector have been on the rise due to increased steel demand and the energy required for production, according to the
International Energy Agency (IEA).
A recent report by the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) highlights key concerns for India’s metal sector. In 2022, the EU accounted for 27 percent of India’s exports of iron, steel, and aluminum products worth US$8.2 billion.
However, starting from January 1, 2026, the EU will impose a carbon tax on each shipment of steel and aluminum, resulting in Indian firms paying additional charges equivalent to 20-35 percent of tariffs.
The impact of the CBAM on India will ultimately depend on the carbon intensity of the exported products and the availability of low-carbon substitutes in the EU market. Products with high carbon intensity are likely to face higher charges, diminishing their competitiveness. Nevertheless, if there are no low-carbon alternatives for Indian goods in the EU market, the effect of the CBAM on Indian exports might be minimal.
One of the major challenges India faces is the absence of an emissions trading system like the EU’s ETS. This may make it challenging for Indian businesses to demonstrate their use of low-carbon technology, resulting in higher charges under the CBAM.